UPDATE: America’s Coronavirus death toll is projected to reach up to 240,000
“We’re going to go through a very tough two weeks — this is going to be a very painful two weeks,” said President Trump at Tuesday’s Coronavirus Task Force press briefing.
However, Trump assures that we are approaching that important day when, all of a sudden, things will get better. “It will be like a burst of light — I think and I hope.” Of course, before that day, things will undoubtedly get much worse.
“This is the time for all Americans to come together and do our part,” said Trump.
Dr. Deborah Birx displayed models created by experts from around the country that project the number of American Coronavirus deaths, both with and without mitigation efforts. These models show that mitigation efforts such as stay at home orders, self-isolating, social distancing, etc. have had and will continue to have a large impact on the death toll.
Without any mitigation efforts, experts projected the number of American Coronavirus fatalities to be between 1.5 and 2.2 million.
However, experts found that with mitigation efforts, the number of projected American deaths lowers to 100,000 – 240,000. This number, though much lower than the projected 2.2 million deaths without any mitigation efforts, is still sobering, and should be taken very seriously.
The model that is currently being used by experts takes into account the data from Italy, Spain, etc. to not only anticipate the number of people who could succumb to the disease but also to anticipate the needs of hospitals. By preparing large quantities of medical equipment and PPE now, we can prepare for the increased rate of hospitalizations to come, and hopefully, help lower the overall fatality count.
This model is updated every morning.
In regard to the projected Coronavirus fatalities, Dr. Anthony Fauci said: “We’re doing everything we can to get it even significantly below that. This is the thing we need to anticipate, but it’s not the thing we need to accept.”
Dr. Fauci explained that experts are confident that mitigation efforts are having a positive impact on the spread of the virus. According to Dr. Fauci, “when the increase in new cases begins to level off, the secondary effect is less hospitalizations, the next effect is less intensive care, then the next effect is less deaths … the deaths and the intensive care and the hospitalizations always lag behind that early indication that there are less new cases per day.”
He says all this to explain that in the coming weeks, though we will continue to see hospitalizations and deaths increase, that we cannot lose hope. These deaths are, in fact, a lag, and he believes we are seeing little inklings to show that the number of new cases is beginning to decrease. So, a month from now, we could see a lot fewer hospitalizations and fatalities.
Though there has been a large debate over whether or not Trump should re-open the economy in the coming weeks, these numbers show that we are in a crucial period of time where our efforts can and will severely impact the American people. His new 30 Days to Slow the Spread campaign was created on the advice of these experts to keep American fatalities low. This can only be done by staying at home as much as possible.
Trump continues to send medical equipment to states to support those health care workers on the front lines, and loan forgiveness is on the way to those businesses who keep their employees on their payroll during this time, along with stimulus checks for American families.