Primary results show Trump can still rally support among GOP faithful
Nine states and the District of Columbia held primaries on Tuesday. The big news was that Joe Biden swept all the Democratic contests and moved to just a few delegates shy of claiming the party’s presidential nomination.
That allowed the media to continue to promote the narrative that President Donald Trump is in dire re-election trouble against Biden. Yet the results from the handful of states that voted on June 2 indicate Trump still generates considerable enthusiasm among GOP voters, based on Politico’s tally of the results.
Trump ran unopposed in South Dakota and in D.C., so Politico did not provide results for Republicans in those elections. Iowa’s election was for all offices other than president. Here’s the breakdown of other contests, in which Sen. Bernie Sanders remained on the Democratic ballot.
In Idaho, Trump received 111,136 votes compared to 108,801 cast in the Democratic race.
In Indiana, Trump outpaced the Democratic field 455,026 to 410,921.
In Maryland, which Trump is expected to lose in November anyway, the Democrats showed up in droves. In all they cast 508,963 votes for presidential candidates, versus just 188,280 Republicans who voted for the incumbent.
Montana Republicans gave Trump 199,552 votes, while the Dems collectively posted 149,486.
In New Mexico, Biden and the other Democrats compiled 375,789 votes, compared to the 140,863 votes that Trump received from GOP voters.
In Pennsylvania the Democrats’ total ran slightly ahead of that for Trump — 858,179 to 831,627.
Much like in Maryland and New Mexico, Rhode Island Democrats showed stronger than Republicans, casting 14,039 votes for their candidates to 6,053 for Trump by Republicans.
The results come with a couple of caveats.
First, in the Republican elections Politico provided an aggregate total for “other candidates” who were on the ballot besides Trump. Overall, about 150,000 GOP voters cast ballots for someone besides the president. These were obvious protest votes, but it seems unclear that these voters will simply go to Biden in the fall since who knows what could happen between now and then to influence them, especially Biden’s vice presidential pick. That could determine how many voters on both sides will go.
Secondly, specifically in Pennsylvania, which is a key battleground state, the Real Clear Politics average of polls showed Biden with a 48-44 lead as of May 31. One might expect Biden’s lead to be larger since Hillary Clinton almost won there in 2016. Biden is a Keystone State native — he kicked off his campaign there — and he’s from neighboring Delaware. But looking at Tuesday’s results, Trump received nearly 168,000 more votes from Republicans than Democrats gave to Biden. Sanders picked up almost 163,000 votes and so it remains to be seen if the Bernie Bros, who could prove pivotal in Pennsylvania in November, will relent and show up for Biden or just sit this one out.
We’re still five months away, and plenty could happen between now and then to change the prospects for either candidate.
But as the media happily spread doom and gloom about Trump’s chances in November, voters in a few states that held essentially meaningless elections on Tuesday indicated Trump’s support remains strong within the GOP.
Scroll down to comment!