GOP expects victory in November
If Trump is in trouble, the GOP didn’t get the message.
Politico’s David Siders interviewed dozens of GOP officials around the country in an attempt to take the temperature of the Republicans. The mass of comments from inside the party shows the GOP is increasingly confident about the prospects of victory in November.
Just as Wall Street seems to be divorced from Main Street, Washington seems to not understand the mood of the people outside the country’s northeast corridor and Hollywood.
While the Trump administration, like all other administrations, can take some blame for its response to its COVID outbreak, COVID, if anything, demonstrated that the U.S. over-reliance on China was a danger that Washington overlooked for too long—and Trump warned about for years.
“The more bad things happen in the country, it just solidifies support for Trump,” Phillip Stephens, a GOP county chairman in N.C. that swung to Trump from Obama in 2016 told Politico. “We’re calling him ‘Teflon Trump.’ Nothing’s going to stick, because if anything, it’s getting more exciting than it was in 2016.”
“We’re thinking landslide,” he concluded.
An average of polls on Real Clear Politics show Biden up on Trump by eight percent, although the polls mostly rely on registered voters rather than likely voters, and don’t represent the electoral college math actually needed to be elected.
Indeed, Trump has shown remarkable resilience considering the constant drum-beat of coordinated attacks on him by the media and the Democrats.
Tweeted Trump last week: 95% Approval Rating in the Republican Party, 53% overall. Not bad considering I get nothing but Fake & Corrupt News, day and night. “Russia, Russia, Russia”, then “the Ukraine Scam (where’s the Whistleblower?)”, the “Impeachment Hoax”, and more, more, more.
The GOP can also point to California’s 25th Congressional district as reason for optimism.
In mid-may, Republican Mike Garcia handily defeated Democrat Christy Smith– 55 percent to 45 percent— in a special election for the vacant seat that was won by Democrat Katie Hill in 2018 by the same margin.
“The Garcia election in Los Angeles I think was a wake-up call to all the skeptics out there that in the middle of all of these difficult challenges, a Republican just flipped a seat in the suburbs of L.A., and that hasn’t been done in 22 years,” House Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-LA) told The Hill.
But mostly, the GOP is counting on Trump’s business forte to get the country back on track from the historic shuttering of the economy due to overreaction on COVID.
“[M]ost of all,“ Politico says of GOP officials, “they put their confidence in an expectation that the economy will improve by fall.”
“Doyle Webb, chairman of the Arkansas Republican Party and general counsel to the Republican National Committee, said the only concern that he would have about Trump’s reelection prospects is ‘if the economy had another downturn.’”
“But I don’t see that happening,” Webb said.
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