Republicans crushing Democrats in Florida voter registration
Republicans under President Donald Trump are shutting down a long-time Democrat registration advantage in Florida which belies the notion that Trump is behind nationally.
The registration advantage for Democrats has shrunk from nearly 535,000 votes in Florida in 2012 to about 135,000 today.
“When President Barack Obama won Florida in 2012, Democrats held a 535,987 registration advantage. Democrats had a 327,428-person edge in 2016 when Trump won the state,” reports Politico.
In 2016, then-candidate Donald Trump won Florida’s electoral votes by 113,000.
The current figures are hard to square with polling that tends to put Joe Biden either slightly ahead or statistically tied with the president. An average of polls at Real Clear Politics shows Biden with a 1.7 percent lead in the Sunshine State.
Some Democrats are blaming COVID-19, which has put a stop to Democrat door-knocking operations for the fading liberal voter advantage.
“It’s late in the game now,” Florida Sen. Jason Pizzo, a Miami Democrat, told Politico last month. “There’s been no pushback from us, meaning that for every 100 doors that Republicans have proverbially knocked on, it’s not like they pissed people off to the point where they’ve run to the Democratic Party because they’re pissed at the GOP.”
Nice try, but as seen above, the voter registration numbers have been trending down for the last eight years for the Democrats in the state.
The Miami Herald reports that the numbers are all the more impressive because outside money interests like former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg have spent millions of dollars in Florida in registration efforts for the Democrats.
“Facing all that adversity and all those headwinds, the Florida Republican Party was able to prevail,” said Republican Party of Florida Chairman Joe Gruters. “Not only prevail — we were able to crush the Democrats.”
The efforts in Florida mimic the results in Pennsylvania, where the GOP has engaged in similar voter registration drives.
“We’ve put a major emphasis on voter registration since the 2016 election. And we have shrunk the Democratic registration advantage by 166,800-plus,” Lawrence Tabas, the Pennsylvania Republican Party chairman, told Fox News in an interview last month.
There again, polling results in Pennsylvania were contradictory to the trend in registration.
An average of polls at Real Clear Politics show Biden with a 5.6 percent lead over Trump in the Keystone state. While some polls in Florida show Trump with a slight lead, no polls in Pennsylvania show Biden with less than a 2 percent lead.
Both Pennsylvania and Florida are seen as must win states for the Trump campaign in retaining the presidency.
At least one indicator says that, so far, the polls are wrong.
Expert.ai, a company that looks at social media trends, says that the polls that show Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden with a double-digit lead over Trump nationally might be overconfident.
“The company’s analysis puts Democratic candidate Joseph Biden ahead of President Donald Trump, 50.2% to 47.3%, a margin that is much narrower than the double-digit lead that Biden has over Trump in most national opinion polls,” says Fortune.
Statistically that would make it a tie.
And just three weeks to go.
PHOTO: Joe Raedle/Getty Images
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