Frank Luntz predicted polling profession ‘done’ if Trump defies polls
Thomas Catenacci, DCNF
Republican pollster Frank Luntz declared that his profession would be “done” if President Donald Trump’s election night performance defied the polls.
Frank Luntz made his comments on Oct. 22 after Fox News anchor Bret Baier asked him about the polls, which significantly favored Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden over President Donald Trump. Trump had just an 89% chance to win based on polling data prior to Tuesday, according to FiveThirtyEight.
“I hate to acknowledge it, because that’s my industry — at least partially — but the public will have no faith. No confidence. Right now, the biggest issue is the trust deficit,” Luntz said, according to Fox News.
“Pollsters did not do a good job in 2016,” he continued. “So, if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden had a 5- or 6-point lead, my profession is done.”
As of Wednesday morning, the election remained too close to call, according to The Wall Street Journal. Regardless of the outcome, it appeared that much of the key swing state polling data was far off the mark.
Pre-election polls in Michigan and Wisconsin showed that Biden would defeat Trump very easily. A poll conducted at the end of October by The New York Times and Siena College showed Biden with an 11-point lead.
Michigan and Wisconsin are still undetermined, according to The Times.